← 研究

为何存在优势 / 假设

Market folklore; tested as a known null-candidate — the discipline of 'test even the absurd, but rigorously'.

构造

Mercury retrograde windows, lunar phases, zodiac transits vs BTC returns.

测试数据

Multi-year BTC history + astronomical calendar.

结果

Zero edge everywhere. Aside: Google Trends 'horoscope' correlates with volatility (r=0.28) — but that's a retail-attention proxy, not astrology.

验证

All 12 signs — null.

根因

No mechanism. An example of what an honest null looks like and why correlation ≠ causation.

结论

Dead (as expected). A showcase case for the methodology.

来源

archive/ASTROLOGY_BTC_RESEARCH.md